波浪报告：外汇/贵金属波浪分析

过去一周，美元未能延续涨势，以确认下一个较大的反弹，而是表明它需要下跌才能恢复主要涨势。鉴于欧元兑美元1.0462低点在3月14日出现，美元这额外的疲软很可能会延长至十二月，美元兑日元或会疲软至十二月初期，美元兑欧元或可能更长一点 

'即便如此，当前的结构是一个横向盘整，应该持续到十一月初才可以有更可持续的跌势。三种欧元对之间有一些细微的差别。欧元兑美元横盘，而英镑兑美元应该有一个更直接的方向，因为它需要完成第三次ABC完成三跌浪。


美元兑日元已经做出了走低，这往往意味着对比更强的下跌，相对于欧元兑美元的坚挺。事实上，虽然有可能昙花一现地升至120.01 ，但下一步的走低应该是相当坚实的（那会在浪iii 及相对较浅的浪iv 中）。这将对欧元兑日元的走向有启示。留意这货币对的跌势。
'最后，黄金和白银是在敏感地区。我得出了结论，黄金似乎已经触低点，并正在准备更强涨势的基础浪。白银一直想突破楔形高位，但似乎先需要一个温和的修正。我仍然不完全清楚黄金的结构，这需要谨慎和注意。它是落后于银，黄金仍未触及周图楔形高位。但是，如果我们看到白银向上突破，黄金也应该遵循。


因此，目前也有一些不明朗的元素，应采短线交易策略，直到全部结构较为明确。

祝交易成功。

如想看完整波浪分析报告，掌握现货黄金、现货白银及外汇走势，请向英伦在线客户索取《贵金属/外汇波浪分析报告》

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

'Deeper daily corrections by the look of things…


This past week was a pain in the backside. The Dollar failed to extend gains to confirm the next larger rally and instead has indicated that it needs to allow losses to develop before the major rally resumes. Given that the 1.0462 low in EURUSD was seen on the 14th of March and that this additional Dollar weakness is likely to extend into December – early to mid I suspect for USDJPY and possibly a little longer with the Europeans – it will be like giving breach birth… I can hear screams of pain all around… 
'Even then, the current structure appears to be a sideways move that should last into early November before there can be more sustainable losses. Therefore, it is still not a time to hold onto long term positions. There are some minor differences between the three Europeans – all three within their own respective structures. EURUSD sideways to up while GBPUSD should have a more direct move because it needs to complete a third ABC to complete a triple three. 


USDJPY has made a move lower and this tends to suggest stronger losses compared to EURUSD strength. Indeed, although there is a strong risk of a blip up to 120.01, the next move lower should be quite solid – within a Wave iii and what should be a shallow Wave iv – and this will have an implication on EURJPY that has been wandering around its garden in a haze, possibly having smoked too much cannabis. So watch for the losses in the cross. 

'Finally, Gold and Silver are in sensitive areas. I have come to the conclusion that Gold has already seen its low and is in the middle of pparing the foundation waves for stronger gains. Silver has been pssing the wedge high but appears to need a mild correction lower. I am still not exactly clear with the structure in Gold and this needs some due care & attention. It is lagging behind Silver in terms of not having reached the weekly wedge high – unlike Silver. However, if we see Silver break higher, don’t fight with Gold – it should follow. 


So, there are several messy and confusing elements at the moment across the board and it will be better to trade short-term for a while until the structures across the board are more settled. 
Have a profitable week.


Good trading